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Before anyone turns an ear to the panels of pundits they might do well to obtain a copy of phillip tetlocks new book expert political judgment how good is it how can we know the berkeley psychiatrist has apparently made a 20 year study of predictions by the sorts who appear as experts on tv and get quoted in newspapers and found that they are no better than the rest of us at . Philip tetlocks book expert political judgment wants to know something very simple that is very difficult to find out through research tetlock wants to know how people can make good predictions about big social economic and political issues. Expert political judgment how good is it how can we know new edition kindle edition by tetlock philip e tetlock philip e download it once and read it on your kindle device pc phones or tablets use features like bookmarks note taking and highlighting while reading expert political judgment how good is it how can we know new edition. The spotlight shifts in chapters 4 and 5 to coherence and process benchmarks of good judgment the focus is on thinking the right way judging judgment on the logical soundness of how we go about drawing inferences updating beliefs and evaluating evidence these alternative conceptions of good judgment are more complementary than